Reading Nick Bostrom’s latest comments about superintelligent AI potentially emerging within two years really got me thinking during my morning commute on the 96 tram. The whole “it could happen any moment now” narrative feels uncomfortably familiar - reminiscent of those endless fusion power predictions we’ve been hearing since the 1950s.

The idea that a single “key insight” in some lab could suddenly unlock superintelligence seems remarkably simplistic. Working in tech for over two decades has taught me that breakthrough moments are rarely that dramatic. They’re usually built on countless incremental improvements, failed attempts, and collaborative efforts across multiple teams and organizations.